Panic, no dont panic, okay maybe panic a little?

So the Mets are 9-11, they’re not in a terrible place but they are certainly not where they thought they would be.  It’s frustrating to watch, but at the same time I have to remind myself, it’s not even May yet.

 

But certainly there is reason for frustration.  For example let’s look at our starting pitching.  When Johan Santana pitches, you have to assume that you are going to win that game.  He is your ace, the best pitcher on your team, hell maybe even on this side of the Rockies (gotta give it up to my boy Tim L.  from SF)  So just for the hell of it, let’s assume that every time  Johan takes the mound, he will win 95% of the time.  For the record, I completely made that percentage up, and no way is it meaningful. 

 

Let’s look at our 2, 3, and 4 pitchers and give them percentages on how often the Mets will win when they take the hill.  Based upon last year stats for Mike Pelfry, and Maines, and Perez’s entire time of the club, the Mets should win about:

 

Mike Pelfrey -52%

John Maine – 59%

Oliver Perez – 57%

 

This has nothing to with the pitchers winning percentages, but the winning percentage of the Mets when each pitcher takes the hill. 

 

But now you have the lonely 5 starter, Livan.  He’s basically here because we are too cheap to pay Pedro.  But, let’s like Johan, make up the Mets winning percentage when Livan takes the mound, I’ll take a stab at 35%.  That’s pretty bad, but as long as he keeps you in the game, a high powered offense such as the Mets should be able to at least steal a couple of games for him.

 

So when you look at a game such as tonight, when Livan gives you 5.1 innings, left with the lead, and kept you in the game, the Mets still lose.  That’s a bad loss in my opinion.

I know you can’t win them all, but all you can ask is for Livan to keep you in the game, like he did tonight, and let your offense go to work.  Nolasco has been shaky so far this season, and I’ll still take the Mets offense to nearly any bullpen

 

The Mets need to put it together, because if this trend continues of mediocre pitching, and leaving waaaaaaaaaaaay to many men on base, it’s going to be an extremely long season, at least for this fan.